It's the little things that count

A tip of the hat to Auckland International Airport Arrivals this morning.

Arriving on SQ from a week in Jakarta, we parked at one of the more distant gates. Doors were open at midday. After walking to Customs, with a stop at Duty Free, collecting my suitcase, clearing MAF, re-checking my bag to Wellington and following the Green Line for 10 minutes to the Domestic terminal, I was in the lounge 35 minutes later.

By my count, five organisations contributed to that - after I'd left SQ's care. Each of them had only to complete a small routine task, and the combination of all five made for a very good experience of arriving home. So often quality is a matter of getting lots of little things right, rather than one big thing, isn't it? Yet how often is the entire experience spoiled by one of those links failing to get it right first time?

As an afterthought, when I arrived at the domestic lounge, I was told that Wellington's weather was marginal and "We're sending the flights off one by one," which made me wonder if a bunch of former fighter jockeys has taken over the airline while I was away, and if they're now operating formation departures to solve peak hour congestion??

Charles Darwin and the Insurance Company Board

As a New Zealand taxpayer – and therefore collectively on the hook for a possible $0.5 – $1.0 billion support package (read ‘bailout’) – I was delighted to see that the Government has appointed an experienced insurance professional, John Pritchard, to the board of AMI Insurance.

It may come as a surprise – as it did to me when I read AMI’s latest annual report – to find that not one of the existing board members appears to have a background in either insurance or risk … unless you count the ownership of racehorses in the latter category. I know, and have considerable respect for, some of the directors: an outstanding retired banker, a leading former retailer, a successful market gardener, and so on. But nobody about whom I could find any experience in the industry in which AMI operates.

Going one step deeper, the Chief Executive’s own earlier career was mainly in banking, not insurance. When you look at the executive management team, you see Heads of Customer Division, Customer Experience, Marketing and Products, all of which helps us to understand how the company has been so successful in growing market share over the last decade, from a relatively small Christchurch-based insurer to one of the leaders nationwide.

However, nobody in the top team has a title that suggests deep involvement in risk management. You have to delve to what appears to be at least third tier to find someone described as Actuarial Team Leader.

I doubt whether anybody could have foreseen the destruction caused by the seismic bombs that hit Christchurch last September and more tragically on 22 February. But a part of risk management is about assessing events of low probability but high impact.

Much of AMI’s business was, not surprisingly, centred on Christchurch, where it had acquired a large share of the House and Contents insurance market, and a disproportionate concentration of its portfolio. And I have read that its reinsurance rates were among the industry’s lowest. Not being from the industry, I wouldn’t have a clue about appropriate reinsurance levels, but I do understand a little about concentration of risk.

What bothers me is that I’m not convinced that anybody else on the board would have had much more knowledge, so would not have been in a strong position to ask whether the reinsurance rates were too low for the high concentration of the company’s exposure.

My daytime business is ‘Building boards into leading teams’, and I’m the last person to suggest that everyone at the board table should come from the same industry background. To the contrary, I believe that having a range of backgrounds and perspectives is vital in achieving effective board oversight. However, having nobody at the board table with a background in the industry seems to defy common sense – because directors must be sure they are receiving the information they need in order to make good decisions. If you don’t have somebody with experience, you won’t know what you don’t know.

Without knowing the background, I can only make some assumptions about AMI’s board practices and (lack of) evolution. The Chairman has been on the board for about twenty years and several of the other directors have been there for a long time, while the CEO was appointed more than 15 years ago.

I’d imagine that some of those relationships had grown quite comfortable during the good times of rapid growth. One of the dangers when this happens is that a director who wants to ask hard questions, challenging the strategy and management’s assumptions, can feel increasingly uncomfortable and isolated if he (at AMI they’re all ‘he’) starts to ‘rock the boat.’ This is why it’s so important that a healthy board culture doesn’t just accept, but insists on dissenting views being aired.

I’d also guess that, as the business grew rapidly, the board’s priorities reflected its experience in growing businesses and satisfying customers, and didn’t focus adequately on changes to its risk exposures or concentration of its portfolio.

The lack of board turnover, combined with the directors' industry backgrounds, seems to have resulted in a failure to grasp the increasing significance of such agenda items, in line with AMI's changing position in a rapidly changing world. As Charles Darwin observed (see my earlier post on his anniversary a couple of years ago):

• It is not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the ones most responsive to change.

A failure to recognize this at AMI’s board table over many years may well cost you and me up to a billion dollars. Let’s hope Mr Pritchard can make enough of a difference to prevent this from happening.

Biting back? When, and how?

In the last few weeks I’ve seen two sad episodes of former employees taking shots at their former boss or their successor. When do you “kick and tell”?

If you want people to know they can trust you, and perhaps to consider offering you a senior role in the future, the simple answer is, “Never”.

The first case that caught my eye was an ex-employee of a multi-national organization, who, in my view, took advantage of his high-profile communications background to celebrate, via his blog, the transfer of a former work colleague out of a very visible management position, into a more internally focused role. His colourful language included references to “this person’s malicious self-service” and “hundreds of venomous emails...” I expect you can fill-in the rest.

I have met the blogger and his target and I understand that they might not get on, professionally or otherwise. But this public e-flogging seems likely to ricochet, as well as damage its target:

• The target (the bloggee?) is tarred by one person’s allegations, which are now stored on hundreds of servers, and there’s no realistic right of reply (call me outdated, but has the idea of “natural justice” totally disappeared?). As a result of this blog, is there any realistic hope that this accusation can ever really be buried? Surely the better approach - if the writer had been genuinely well-intentioned - would have been to raise it with the individual in person, or if that didn’t work, confidentially with the person’s boss, the CEO?

• For the blogger, on the other hand, I’d recommend that any potential employer or client should read his blog post and think carefully of what might happen if they too were to fall out later. As a result, the new employer or client might well ask themselves, “Why take the risk?”

So, no winners from this.

Then, a couple of weeks ago, at the height of Telecom’s troubles with its new mobile network, the company’s former CEO, Theresa Gattung, indulged in the print version of kicking her successor with heavy boots while he was bruised and flat on the canvas.

Of course she will have insights that most of us don’t and probably there will be some truth in her analysis of the issues. But one thing she should have learned in her time as CEO is that it’s easy to offer gratuitous solutions from the touchline; it’s much harder to apply them when you’re on the field (what the Americans call a “Monday-morning quarterback”).

Among her more headline-grabbing comments was rather disingenuous criticism of her successor’s salary, which you could read as either sour grapes or simple envy - neither of which fits well with a former chief of the country’s largest listed company.

I don’t expect Ms Gattung needs to look for another job, since she was well remunerated in New Zealand terms - even if the amount was, as she noted, far less than that of her successor. So perhaps the fallout for her won’t amount to much. Her comments may even help to sell a few more copies of her memoirs. But a Board looking for a chief executive, or for another Board member, would hope that confidentiality and loyalty will endure beyond the term in office.

From a practical governance perspective, what goes on in the Boardroom isn’t usually that sensitive - you could publish much of it without a second thought. However, if you’re concerned that you might be misquoted or taken out of context later, you will inevitably lose the spontaneity and full, open discussion that are so valuable in getting to good decisions.

So, again, if someone shows a tendency to “reveal all”, a Board might be inclined to ask, “Why take the risk?”

Many years ago, an executive headhunter had a sketch on his wall: an outline of the lower half of a wading bird. The caption read, “Remember that the toes you tread on today are attached to the feet, that are joined to the legs, that support the backside you may have to kiss tomorrow.”

Tread softly.

The chairman as 'super-CEO', or something else?

Earlier this month I saw a friend who had just been appointed the independent chairman in a medium sized business. As he went on about what he hoped to achieve, how he had a clear picture of what he wanted to do with the company, and so on, I sensed that he was falling into the classic trap of confusing the role of the chair with that of the chief executive - and perhaps saw it as some type of super-CEO position, or in his words the ‘ultimate decision-maker’.

For those who've never been in the position, this is a common misconception. When you look at the role of chair for the first time, it can be tempting to think that you’ve finally made it. But this can soon change: one of the first things you learn is that it's not your job to run the company. As an independent member of the Board - even as the Chair - you don’t have any executive authority of your own. (Having been in the CEO's position, I also know how frustrating, and potentially undermining, it is to work with a chairman who can't leave the place, or your office, alone!)

I don’t want to disillusion any budding Board chairs, but the reality is that you’re not the boss: under good governance practice, you are ‘first among equals’, with any formal decisions still coming from the full Board; you’re the chair of the Board as long as you have the confidence of your fellow Board members. One of the most useful ways I heard it described, when I was first appointed chair of a small Board, was that you are the chair of the Board... you are NOT chair of the Company.

While the CEO’s job is to run the company, yours is to run the Board so that it can add value and give the CEO the best possible chance to succeed. As an aside, a useful reality check on whether the Board is adding value is to ask at the end of any Board meeting, ‘Is the organization better off now than it was at the beginning of the day?’ If the answer is ‘No’ or even ‘I don’t know’, a valid response might be, ‘So, remind me again why we met today.’

I was thinking how to identify some of the practical attributes that make a successful Board chair, when I came across this short article from Harvard Business, called ‘Leading when you don’t have formal authority’.

The article describes what an effective project manager or independent contractor needs, when he or she doesn’t have authority to give orders or conduct performance reviews of the people they work with, but whose performance will determine their success (and attributes you'll see in almost every effective Board chair):

• Letting your enthusiasm be contagious;
• Demonstrating excellence without wearing your ego on your sleeve;
• Acting more as a coach than a captain.

They're three really valuable pointers, which need to become second nature if you're going to do the job well - and if you plan to stay true to them when times get tough in the boardroom.

As you can see, they're not the type of thing you'll read in a CEO's job description - although they are also not totally removed from some modern management thinking. The more I thought about it, the more I realised the article could have been written for my friend - yes, he now has a copy... and having chaired his first Board meeting, he also understands how true (and timely) it is.

Wisdom to know the difference

Most of us know the ‘Serenity Prayer,’ which asks for

• “Serenity to accept the things I cannot change; courage to change the things I can; and wisdom to know the difference.”

Sometime we find a limit to what we can achieve as an independent director.

A few years ago, I joined the Board of a company in which the Chairman and the Chief Executive had worked together since the company’s establishment. By the time I joined, they were the only two at the Board table who had been with the company from the start.

To some of us, the CEO appeared to have lost the energy for taking the business forward, despite having had some significant successes until then. The Board’s meeting agenda was usually composed mainly of rearward-looking or operational detail and we didn’t see much creative or strategic thinking - at a time when our industry was going through big changes and some of us could see exciting opportunities for the company to take a leadership position.

On the surface all our boardroom discussions were very polite and we seemed to reach a consensus on most matters - including an agreement to take a new look at the company’s direction. However, although we had some useful strategic planning discussions and regularly discussed future options, nothing seemed to change in practice.

Perhaps most telling was that any strategic ideas that came up at Board meetings were generally repeated back to us by the CEO, with no further thought or analysis - or even pushback; but month by month, nothing actually happened.

“Courage to change the things I can...” As most of us would, I suspect, we - two of us especially - kept trying to make progress. We had regular Board-alone sessions, where we discussed our concerns with the Chairman, who usually agreed with our analysis. But, when the CEO joined the meeting, the Chairman would negate any of our questions or comments, with a remark such as, “Now this isn’t meant in any way as a criticism of management.” This became so frustrating that we came to see the Chairman as ‘Counsel for the Defence’ for the CEO. Putting myself into the CEO’s position, I’m not surprised that he saw the Chairman’s comments as endoresement for taking no further action on our concerns.

“Serenity to accept the things I cannot change...” By now you’re probably asking why we didn’t raise this directly with the Chairman. We did - several times. What we gathered was that he had invested so heavily in bringing the CEO up to speed in the early days that he now didn’t have the energy - or the heart - to act. Also, in case you’re wondering about another option, there were good reasons why he was the right person to lead the Board, and changing this was not a practicable option.

“And the wisdom to know the difference...” I worked out that I had three options: to keep banging my head against the frustratingly hard wall; secondly, to wait until the Chairman retired and hope we could do something then; or to spend more of my time in places where I might be able to make a difference.

I don’t know what you’d have done in this situation. I was fortunate enough to have been offered another Board position, working with a group of people where doing nothing was never going to be an option.

I still have a sense of missed opportunity and unfinished business, and I’m not sure that I showed much ‘serenity’ in my frustration. But at least I feel I was given ‘the wisdom to know the difference’. In my new role, I know I won’t die wondering what we might have done.

"Failing our Students" - what the business schools haven't been teaching

“By failing to teach the principles of corporate governance, our business schools have failed our students... By not internalizing sound principles of governance and accountability, graduates have matured into executives and investment bankers who have failed workers and retirees, who have witnessed their jobs and savings vanish.”

Not my words, but an extract from an article in the Wall Street Journal on 24th April (that a friend sent to me), by a business school professor from North Carolina, Michael Jacobs, who was previously director of corporate finance at the US Treasury.

Besides agreeing strongly with Professor Jacobs, what else should we learn from this? First, that we’ve sometimes been talking to the wrong people; and second that we’ve usually left it too late.

I spend quite a lot of my time presenting at directors’ workshops and courses. The typical participant has already built a successful career - chief executive, second-tier management, new director, or sometimes quite experienced as a director but with no formal training in the role. To reach this current stage, such people have learned what works for them and have usually developed some well-entrenched approaches to doing things.

If they haven't previously factored-in good governance practices, it’s unlikely that a few days on even one of my programmes will change the habits of a lifetime!

All our experience teaches us that habits learned early are habits learned well. So what if we listened to Professor Jacobs’ advice and started teaching principles of good governance at a much earlier stage in these leaders’ careers? What if we included corporate governance as a core element of MBAs - and not just in the sense of the controls, checks and balances, but showing examples of the real value that a dynamic and engaged Board can add to an organization, and its chief executive?

The lesson I’ve taken from Professor Jacobs is that we should be exposing people to the principles of good corporate governance while they are still putting together the building blocks for a career in leadership. By the time they get there, it may be too late to change.

I hope we’ll see many more younger participants on our director-training programmes, and that I (and others) can spend more time in front of MBA classes, where tomorrow’s leaders often build the framework for their high-flying careers. If they come, and if Professor Jacobs is right, then maybe we won’t see a repeat of the excesses and behaviours that have so dented credibility and faith in the free enterprise system in the last 18 months.

And that would have to be good for everyone, not least those who choose to learn what good governance is, far earlier in their careers.

Consensus governance: how Google does it - and what we can learn

I think we would agree that Google Inc has done more in the last decade to change the way we live and work than any other company. It has become the dominant leader of the digital revolution (and in doing so has probably gathered more information about you and your habits than you know yourself), much as Microsoft dominated the software industry of the previous decade.

So, if we want to understand how best to govern our own businesses nearly ten years into the twenty-first century, we should be able to learn some lessons from how Google does it. The McKinsey Quarterly recently published an interview with Google CEO, Eric Schmidt. One of the most interesting parts of this was Schmidt's explanation of how they run Google by consensus, in preference to a more traditional, hierarchical structure.

Schmidt advocates - and practises - the 'wisdom of crowds' hypothesis - which, in his words, argues that 'groups make better decisions than individuals' ... especially when they are selected from among 'the smartest and most interesting people.' That description sounds to me very much like an affirmation of sound governance by a board of directors.  

But this description raises the question - what then is the role of the leader in today's company? Or is there indeed a role for the leader?  First, says Schmidt, the leader must enforce deadlines - not the outcome.  In other words, he or she must insist on execution, but is not the person to decide the strategy alone.  I take this definition to point the finger at all those boards that make good collective decisions, but then don't ensure their decisions are acted on.

Schmidt then argues - perhaps rather threateningly to a leader uncertain of his or her position - that the second requirement is to get dissent: 'If you don't have dissent then you have a king.' This surely is one of the fundamental features of an effective board - to encourage, or even insist on, differing opinions being aired, as a way of generating discussion and reaching a genuine consensus view.  

When we look at some of the corporate disasters of the last few years, we can ask how differently things might have turned out if the leader had not driven the agenda - and the outcome he (usually it has been 'he') wanted - but instead had allowed the leadership group/team/board to reach a real consensus position; and secondly, what if they had insisted on some dissenting views - people who would play 'devil's advocate', who could ask what the real risks of the preferred strategy might be... and whose careers would not suffer as a result of doing so.

You may remember that saying of Sam Goldwyn: 'I don't want any yes-men around me. I want everybody to tell me the truth even if it costs them their jobs.' Perhaps that's the attitude that has developed in boardrooms over the last decade, which now needs to change.

Not taking part in this Recession, thanks.

If you are registered on Facebook - how else do you keep in touch with the activities and travels of three children living overseas? - and if you belong to the 'New Zealand Network', then you're welcome to sign up to (and participate in) my Group, "We've looked at the Recession and decided not to participate."

This is not a struthious ("related to, or resembling, an ostrich") attempt to ignore what is happening globally or to belittle the very real difficulties that thousands of organisations and millions of people are facing as a result of the meltdown. (Only today I heard that at least 20 million Chinese have lost work in the cities and have had to return to the relative poverty of the countryside.)

The purpose of this Group is, however, largely to remind people that recessions are also times of opportunity: unless we get into another Great Depression, most people will still have work, business will continue, and some enormous opportunities will be available to those who take a longer view, who refuse to batten down altogether and are willing to take a chance... There's the added advantage that, if you see an opportunity to invest or grow, chances are there will be fewer people competing with you - they've listened to the doomsayers telling them they should be miserable, so they've stayed home.

It's just a decision.

"Fortes fortuna juvat." (Google it, if you must.)  

Not another Economic Forecast

As we begin another year, you might like to throw yourself back twelve months and think about what we were expecting for 2008.  

With oil in January 2008 selling at about $US 85 per barrel, you might have been very smart and predicted that it would go to a record high of $US 140 or more - as it did in June. I remember some people telling us then to prepare for life at $US 200 (was that really only seven months ago?). But how many people told you last January that the price would drop below $US 50 again before the end of the year? Well, we know what has happened since: as I write, the price is almost exactly $US 100 below its peak - here's a chart showing the average monthly oil price since 1946, both nominal and in 2008 dollars.

In the last four months, we've also seen one of the largest financial markets meltdowns in history - certainly the most traumatic since 1931-32 - and the largest ever co-ordinated loosening of monetary policy.  This chart on Wikipedia shows movements in the US Federal Funds Rate over the last half century, which reveals an uncanny symmetry between 1954 and today with a 'pivot' in about 1982. But, what hit me the hardest and highlighted the significance of what has happened is this table from the Bank of England, which records the Bank Rate from October 1694 (sic, I have not transposed the digits), when the Rate was set at 6.00%.  It reached its historical low of 2.00% in April 1852, and on a few subsequent occasions, including 1932, 1939 and December 2008.  But, unless I have missed something, the Rate has never been lower than that... until last week, 8 January 2009, when it dropped to 1.50% - for the first time in more than three hundred years.

I'm no Economic Historian nor an expert in Central Banking. But I am old enough to know that central banks have spent most of the last thirty years using the few tools they have - mainly the setting of interest rates - to keep inflation low but positive, in order to provide a sound platform for the sustained economic growth that the planet has experienced over the last twenty years.

Who knows where this dramatically-loosened monetary policy will take us? Will we see a resurgence in global inflation in the next twelve months, leading to a fresh cycle of unprecedented tightening in order to stop prices running out of control; or will even these drastic cuts in interest rates (effectively to zero) fail to prevent a spiral into deflation, which none of us has experienced before? Or neither of these extremes?

I have no idea where this recession will lead, or how bad or long it will be.  I'm certainly not going to try to forecast.  

As a board member, my big lesson from the last twelve months is that we need to prepare ourselves NOT for a $US 200 oil price, nor a New Zealand dollar exchange rate of $US 0.40, nor for a specific price for any commodity (money, gold, milk powder...).  No, what I think we need to be ready for is continued volatility, where we learn to live with - and take advantage of - the unpredictability and lack of clear price trends. This calls for greater risk awareness from all board members - not necessarily risk aversion - and a real understanding of our strategic risks and opportunities. (When did your board last ask - and try to answer - questions like 'What could actually put us out of business?' and 'Where does our money really come from?')  

We all need to think carefully about what our real business is, and our own unique value proposition, since we can no longer lean on sustained economic growth or continued price inflation to cushion our poor strategic decisions.

So there we are - back on deck for another year of challenge and excitement... as the late Sir Peter Blake used to ask, 'If it was easy, why would you bother doing it?'

And, if I'm completely wrong and 2009 is a year of unprecedented calm and stability in prices, then this time next year I'll probably write about the volatility of everything, including volatility. 

Evolution - the survival of those most responsive to change

As you will of course have remembered, it was 'Evolution Week' recently, the anniversary of the launch of Charles Darwin's 'The Origin of Species' (24 November 1859).  So often we misquote him by referring broadly to 'the survival of the fittest', but Darwin's thesis is far more encouraging than that cliche indicates:

• 'It is not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the ones most responsive to change.'
  

Any of us can take heart from that: how strong we are and how intelligent were both decided to a large degree very early in our development as a human being (personal trainers and pop psychologists notwithstanding). But how responsive we are to change is a conscious decision, which we can take at any time.

If you want a dramatic example, finish reading here, then watch this short video on Youtube. I honestly don't know whether it's genuine - there seems to be some debate - but I've looked at it several times and it still looks good to me. Regardless, take it at face value and think about the instant decisions this pilot had to take when faced with a catastrophic change that, according to all precedents and accepted wisdom, would have given him about five seconds to live... and how responsive he was to this change.  

Now think about the changes you (and your business) face in this global downturn. And whether you'd prefer his challenges or yours.  

Have a good, adaptable, week.

(Here's the link again. To keep this window open while you open the link, click on the link with the right-hand button on your mouse and select the options of New Window or New Tab.)